Sounds like a clear 2nd to me..
Can't be placed if you don't play.
Reminds me of the story of the young woman who REALLY wanted to win the lottery.
So she started one Friday night when she went to bed she prayed, "Please God. Let me win the lottery tomorrow night.
No result.
Next week, same prayer.
Same result.
Week three. Same prayer, plus a special plea about how good a life she'd lead if she won.
From above boomed this great deep voice, "Help me out here. BUY A TICKET!!!!!!!!!!!"